KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: At least $53,035
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 5:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
At least $52,990 99%Leader of 80 outcomes
Market quality
21 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$1K
Low liquiditySpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 3:20 PMAug 21, 26, 6:00 PM
Probability Timeline
At least $52,99099%
At least $52,88099%
At least $52,89099%
At least $52,77099%
At least $52,79599%
At least $52,92599%
At least $52,99599%
At least $53,00099%
At least $53,00599%
At least $53,01099%
At least $52,94599%
At least $52,65099%
At least $52,65599%
At least $52,66099%
At least $52,66599%
At least $52,67099%
At least $52,67599%
At least $52,68099%
At least $52,68599%
At least $52,69099%
At least $52,69599%
At least $52,70099%
At least $52,70599%
At least $52,71099%
At least $52,71599%
At least $52,72099%
At least $52,72599%
At least $52,73099%
At least $52,73599%
At least $52,74099%
At least $52,74599%
At least $52,75099%
At least $52,75599%
At least $52,76099%
At least $52,76599%
At least $52,77599%
At least $52,78099%
At least $52,78599%
At least $52,79099%
At least $52,80099%
At least $52,80599%
At least $52,81099%
At least $52,81599%
At least $52,82099%
At least $52,82599%
At least $52,83099%
At least $52,83599%
At least $52,84099%
At least $52,84599%
At least $52,85099%
At least $52,85599%
At least $52,86099%
At least $52,86599%
At least $52,87099%
At least $52,87599%
At least $52,88599%
At least $52,89599%
At least $52,90099%
At least $52,90599%
At least $52,91099%
At least $52,91599%
At least $52,92099%
At least $52,93099%
At least $52,93599%
At least $52,94099%
At least $52,95099%
At least $52,95599%
At least $52,96099%
At least $52,96599%
At least $52,97099%
At least $52,97599%
At least $52,98099%
At least $52,98599%
At least $53,0150%
At least $53,0200%
At least $53,0250%
At least $53,0300%
At least $53,0350%
At least $53,0400%
At least $53,0450%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
Rules
If the value of Dow Jones Industrial Average (Index.US30/USD) is the named outcome at 2pm EDT on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth
- The market resolves based on the value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average at the exact time specified in 2pm EDT on Aug 21, 2026, as reported by Pyth Network, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied.
- If the value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average at 2pm EDT on Aug 21, 2026 is the named outcome, the market resolves to Yes.
- If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If no data is available for 2pm EDT on Aug 21, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than "No data" or "None" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.
