KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Trump (5+ times) 75%Leader of 20 outcomes
Trump (5+ times) 75%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$418.1
Open interest
$418.1
Low open interestSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 2:30 PM UTCOct 14, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
California Governor Election Winner
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election: Fresno County Winner
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Winner
GeminiCalifornia Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf This CA Gov candidate makes the runoff, will they win the California Governor election?
Manifold MarketsRules
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). any participating candidate speaking in an official capacity.
- For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.