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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?

Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?

7.0% (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsRegulationTech6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 54%+7.0%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.1

Liquidity

$30

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

47.0% / 52.0%

Spread

10.6%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Jun 4, 26, 11:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes54%

Rules

If a statewide moratorium, pause, or ban on new data center construction or permitting has become law in any U.S. state before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
  • Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
  • The following do NOT constitute enactment:
  • Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
  • Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

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Rules

If a statewide moratorium, pause, or ban on new data center construction or permitting has become law in any U.S. state before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
  • Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
  • The following do NOT constitute enactment:
  • Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
  • Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.