KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 3:25 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 93 0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
98.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 2:29 AM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Starbucks Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiAmazon Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiWalmart Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiCredit Card Competition act enacted before 2027?
Manifold Markets[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Manifold MarketsManifold Credit Default swaps 2030
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Carbon Arc Chick-fil-A Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Chick-fil-A Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values the named outcome indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $555.4K
- 24h Vol
- $499.3K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+13.0pt68.6%
- 65-89+5.0pt30.4%
- 90-114-3.5pt1%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.2K
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $220.4K
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Chick-fil-A Credit Card Spend in September?
- Kalshi prices Above 93 at 0% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Chick-fil-A Credit Card Spend in September resolve?
- Chick-fil-A Credit Card Spend in September is scheduled to resolve on October 7, 2026.
- How is Chick-fil-A Credit Card Spend in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Carbon Arc Chick-fil-A Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.