Current implied probability
Alexander Dobrindt 1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$25.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 5:48 PMJan 8, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Alexander Dobrindt1%
Large trades
$1.7k90.0%
KALSHIThorsten Frei — Yes2d ago
KALSHIThorsten Frei — Yes2d agoVolume trend
$1.5kJul 216d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$139.3KUnited Russia (ER): 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
$90KMarine Le Pen: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
$33.7KCount Binface: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton By-Election - Winner
$3.5KConservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETS
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
$3.4KYes: 6.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
$2.6KYes: 1.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Justin Sun’s HTX lands on EU sanctions list over alleged Russia tiesCrypto News
EU hits Russia with massive 21st sanctions package targeting $120B crypto networkCoindesk
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
EU widens Belarus ownership ban to all crypto service providers Cointelegraph
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.NewsRules
If Thorsten Frei formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Carsten Linnemann formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexander Dobrindt formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Nina Warken formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.