KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Hike 1-25bps (99%)
Resolved: Jul 16, 2026, 1:35 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 12:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Hike 1-25bps
- Recorded
- Jul 17, 2026, 3:38 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityHike 1-25bps 91.7%+8.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.5K
Liquidity
$28K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 6.0%
Market data
Updated 12 days ago
StaleMay 27, 26, 6:00 PMJul 16, 26, 12:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Maintain current rate2%
Hike 1-25bps99%
1.9%
0.9%
91.7%
4.6%
0.9%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Hike 1-25bps
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $8.5K | $28K | 12 days ago | |
 Polymarket63% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $4.8K | $0 | 11 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Bank of Korea decision in July?
3.2 ptsClosed
Resolved
Increase (100%)
+4.9pt100%
0%
-3.2pt0%
25 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$195.6K
24h Vol$4.8K
POLYMARKETRules
If the Bank of Korea takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$3.1k88.0%POLYMARKETWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting? — Yesfiregold19d ago
POLYMARKETWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting? — Yesfiregold19d agoVolume trend
$8.5kJul 215d of dataJul 16
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If the Bank of Korea takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).