KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 78%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 22.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Feb 21, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
If the United States has imposed new capital controls in an attempt to limit capital from leaving the United States and going to any country (as opposed to on one specific country) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Executive Branchthe United States CongressThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Examples of capital controls for the purposes of this Contract include: direct restrictions on outbound transfers (e.g. a regulation requiring government approval or an outright ban on transactions outside of the country above some threshold), asset freeze orders (e.g. ordering banks not to issue cash en masse), setting a rule on the absolute cap of cash that can be physically carried out of the country (as opposed to merely mandating reporting of an amount), foreign exchange purchase limits, and new reporting requirements on capital transfers.
- Restrictions on capital from coming into the United States are not included in the Payout Criterion.
Open markets
Foreign ExchangePOLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt59.6%
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+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6M
- 24h Vol
- $10.5K
KALSHIEURUSD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Above 1.149+3.0pt99%
- Above 1.14199%
- Above 1.151+3.0pt98%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $26.6K
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
- 2.2M++13.5pt89.3%
- 2.1-2.2M-5.8pt4.8%
- 2.0-2.1M-1.4pt1.9%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ 99.50+41.3pt100%
- ↓ 99.00+32.5pt100%
- ↓ 99.50100%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
- 2.5 to 2.8M+38.0pt53%
- 2.2 to 2.5M-38.5pt25%
- <2.2M-10.0pt10%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of December?
- 3.0 - 3.5M+14.0pt31.6%
- 2.0 - 2.5M-0.5pt27.6%
- <2.0M-1.5pt16.3%
+3 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump impose capital controls??
- Kalshi prices No at 78% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Trump impose capital controls? resolve?
- Will Trump impose capital controls? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Will Trump impose capital controls? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the United States has imposed new capital controls in an attempt to limit capital from leaving the United States and going to any country (as opposed to on one specific country) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.