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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. Will Trump impose capital controls?
Will Trump impose capital controls?

Will Trump impose capital controls?

RegulationOne-OffUS PoliticsForeign Exchange2y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 19%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$27.2

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

17.0% / 19.0%

Spread

11.8%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Feb 21, 25, 3:00 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes19%

Rules

If the United States has imposed new capital controls in an attempt to limit capital from leaving the United States and going to any country (as opposed to on one specific country) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Examples of capital controls for the purposes of this Contract include: direct restrictions on outbound transfers (e.g. a regulation requiring government approval or an outright ban on transactions outside of the country above some threshold), asset freeze orders (e.g. ordering banks not to issue cash en masse), setting a rule on the absolute cap of cash that can be physically carried out of the country (as opposed to merely mandating reporting of an amount), foreign exchange purchase limits, and new reporting requirements on capital transfers.
  • Restrictions on capital from coming into the United States are not included in the Payout Criterion.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,905.42+2.61%EthereumETH$1,657.42+1.95%SolanaSOL$65.49+3.15%XRPXRP$1.12+0.80%BNBBNB$599.96+2.64%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.67%

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Rules

If the United States has imposed new capital controls in an attempt to limit capital from leaving the United States and going to any country (as opposed to on one specific country) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Examples of capital controls for the purposes of this Contract include: direct restrictions on outbound transfers (e.g. a regulation requiring government approval or an outright ban on transactions outside of the country above some threshold), asset freeze orders (e.g. ordering banks not to issue cash en masse), setting a rule on the absolute cap of cash that can be physically carried out of the country (as opposed to merely mandating reporting of an amount), foreign exchange purchase limits, and new reporting requirements on capital transfers.
  • Restrictions on capital from coming into the United States are not included in the Payout Criterion.