KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 106 58%Market line of 7 lines
Above 106 58%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$959.4
Low open interestMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 7, 26, 3:29 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Rules
If the Carbon Arc BP Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 106 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means BP Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 98
- If the Carbon Arc BP Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 98 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 104
- If the Carbon Arc BP Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 104 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 106
- If the Carbon Arc BP Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 106 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 108
- If the Carbon Arc BP Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 108 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc BP Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 112
- If the Carbon Arc BP Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 112 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 118
- If the Carbon Arc BP Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 118 , then the market resolves to Yes.
