What will Scott Bessent say during Special Report with Bret Baier?
DogecoinOne-OffAIMemecoinUS PoliticsTech
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Inflation / Inflationary (99%)
Resolved: Sep 24, 2026, 2:46 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Winning Outcome
Inflation / Inflationary
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 24, 2026, 2:13 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Trump (3+ times)1%
Tax Cut / Cut Tax1%
Inflation / Inflationary42%
Buyback / Buy Back1%
Democrat1%
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation1%
Manufacture / Manufacturing99%
AI / Artificial Intelligence78%
Iran / Iranian73%
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency1%
Fed / Federal Reserve / Warsh0%
Tariff60%
China / Chinese95%
Nuclear0%
GDP1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline60%
Stock Market1%
Event does not qualify1%
Inflation / InflationaryWon
Manufacture / ManufacturingLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
Iran / IranianLost
Fed / Federal Reserve / WarshLost
TariffLost
China / ChineseLost
NuclearLost
Oil / Gas / GasolineLost
Trump (3+ times)Lost
Tax Cut / Cut TaxLost
Buyback / Buy BackLost
DemocratLost
Negotiate / Negotiated / NegotiationLost
Crypto / Bitcoin / CryptocurrencyLost
GDPLost
Stock MarketLost
Event does not qualifyLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Scott Bessent says the named outcome as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Scott Bessent speaking in an official capacity.