KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityKai Newkirk 16%+1.0%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.1K
Liquidity
$30.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 15.0%
Spread
15.4%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Kai Newkirk16%
Volume trend
$14.1kJul 27d of dataJul 8
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If Greg Stanton wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 AZ-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kai Newkirk wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 AZ-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.