KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 98 95%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$571.3
Liquidity
$11.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
93.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Aug 3, 26, 11:15 PMSep 7, 26, 2:29 AM
Trends
Rules
If the Carbon Arc Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend (August 2026) for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values the named outcome indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.3pt97%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4M
- 24h Vol
- $100.9K
POLYMARKETExtended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $150M-29.5pt43.8%
- $300M-15.0pt26.8%
- $500M-3.5pt12.5%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETMetamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $300M-0.5pt14%
- $100M-1.0pt13%
- $500M+0.5pt12%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of August?
- NVIDIA+1.4pt98%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt74%
- Apple-0.5pt14%
- Alphabet10%
+25 more outcomes
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No91%
- Yes9%
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $22.6K
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of August?
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend in August?
- Kalshi prices Above 98 at 95% as of August 22, 2026.
- When does Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend in August resolve?
- Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend in August is scheduled to resolve on September 7, 2026.
- How is Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend in August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Carbon Arc Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend (August 2026) for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.