KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 9:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
27.0% / 31.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Rules
If Amazon.com, Inc. achieves the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of Federal Trade Commission et al. v.
- Amazon.com, Inc. (No. 2:26-cv-03097), originally filed in the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amazon.com, Inc. achieves the superior outcome through the following exclusive hierarchy:
- Net Monetary Recovery (Highest Priority): Amazon.com, Inc. achieves the superior outcome if they receive a larger net monetary award than all opposing parties combined (after offsetting any awards against Amazon.com, Inc.).
- Attorney's fees and costs are excluded.
- Substantive Legal Victory (Second Priority): If no net monetary advantage exists, Amazon.com, Inc. achieves the superior outcome if they prevail on claims seeking the largest dollar amount of relief in their original pleadings, or if relief amounts are equal or unclear, on the greater number of primary causes of action.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Amazon win the FTC ad surcharge lawsuit??
- Kalshi prices No at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Amazon win the FTC ad surcharge lawsuit? resolve?
- Will Amazon win the FTC ad surcharge lawsuit? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Will Amazon win the FTC ad surcharge lawsuit? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Amazon.com, Inc. achieves the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of Federal Trade Commission et al. v.