KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 3.9000 (99%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 11:06 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Above 3.86500%
Above 3.85500%
Above 3.85000%
Above 3.90000%
Above 3.89500%
Above 3.86000%
Above 3.89000%
Above 3.92000%
Above 3.91500%
Above 3.87500%
Above 3.88000%
Above 3.87000%
Above 3.88500%
Above 3.840099%
Above 3.84500%
Above 3.910047%
Above 3.90500%
Above 3.935023%
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Won
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 98% ·
Lost
Before close: 98% ·
Lost
Before close: 98% ·
Lost
Before close: 96% ·
Lost
Before close: 95% ·
Lost
Before close: 95% ·
Lost
Before close: 92% ·
Lost
Before close: 89% ·
Lost
Before close: 23% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $3.8400 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $3.8450 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $3.8500 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $3.8550 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $3.8600 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $3.8650 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.2M
- 24h Vol
- $370.4K
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 202937%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-3.0pt28%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+4.0pt12%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.8M
- 24h Vol
- $221.8K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 22, 2026?
- Above $88.49-10.0pt86%
- Above $88.9984%
- Above $89.4974%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $204.5K
- 24h Vol
- $172K
KALSHINatural gas price on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $1.09999%
- Above $2.09999%
- Above $1.79999%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $111.4K
- 24h Vol
- $110.4K
KALSHIHow high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- $115.01 or above-5.8pt35%
- $120.01 or above-9.0pt26%
- $125.01 or above-2.9pt25%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.300099%
- Above 4.340099%
- Above 4.320099%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $77K
- 24h Vol
- $77K
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Brent crude oil price on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Diesel prices in Sep 2026
- Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- Diesel prices this week
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 22?
- How high will WTI oil get by Sep 30, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- When does Texas gas prices tomorrow resolve?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is Texas gas prices tomorrow settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $3.8400 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.