KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 4.6550 (98%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 1:00 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 11:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 4.58500%
Above 4.545096%
Above 4.56500%
Above 4.505098%
Above 4.57500%
Above 4.57000%
Above 4.510098%
Above 4.56000%
Above 4.555097%
Above 4.550097%
Above 4.52000%
Above 4.540097%
Above 4.53000%
Above 4.58000%
Above 4.51500%
Above 4.525097%
Above 4.535097%
Above 4.635085%
Above 4.78500%
Above 4.78000%
Above 4.77500%
Above 4.730095%
Above 4.735079%
Above 4.74000%
Above 4.74500%
Above 4.75000%
Above 4.75500%
Above 4.76000%
Above 4.76500%
Above 4.77000%
Above 4.695075%
Above 4.6350Lost
Above 4.6100Lost
Above 4.6800Lost
Above 4.6600Lost
Above 4.5450Lost
Above 4.6050Lost
Above 4.5650Lost
Above 4.5950Lost
Above 4.6000Lost
Above 4.5750Lost
Above 4.5700Lost
Above 4.6250Lost
Above 4.6750Lost
Above 4.5100Lost
Above 4.6300Lost
Above 4.5600Lost
Above 4.5900Lost
Above 4.6150Lost
Above 4.6200Lost
Above 4.5550Lost
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KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If average regular gas prices for Michigan are strictly greater than $4.5050 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for Michigan are strictly greater than $4.5100 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for Michigan are strictly greater than $4.5150 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for Michigan are strictly greater than $4.5200 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for Michigan are strictly greater than $4.5250 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for Michigan are strictly greater than $4.5300 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.