KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 6.2650 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 11:06 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:57 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 6.31506%
Above 6.32501%
Above 6.31004%
Above 6.27000%
Above 6.29000%
Above 6.295096%
Above 6.280097%
Above 6.33001%
Above 6.265099%
Above 6.28500%
Above 6.30000%
Above 6.34000%
Above 6.33505%
Above 6.32000%
Above 6.305090%
Above 6.34500%
Above 6.275097%
Above 6.2700Lost
Above 6.2900Lost
Above 6.2950Lost
Above 6.2800Lost
Above 6.2650Won
Above 6.2850Lost
Above 6.3000Lost
Above 6.2750Lost
Above 6.3050Lost
Above 6.3150Lost
Above 6.3350Lost
Above 6.3100Lost
Above 6.3450Lost
Above 6.3300Lost
Above 6.3400Lost
Above 6.3250Lost
Above 6.3200Lost
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.2650 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.2700 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.2750 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.2800 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.2850 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.2900 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.