KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 4.1050 (95%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 12:25 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 3:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 4.1000 99%Leader of 17 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$165.1K
Liquidity
$110.8K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 12:00 PMAug 21, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Above 4.105095%
Above 4.110030%
Above 4.11502%
Above 4.12003%
Above 4.10000%
Above 4.13000%
Above 4.14501%
Above 4.135013%
Above 4.12501%
Above 4.065099%
Above 4.080099%
Above 4.14001%
Above 4.09500%
Above 4.070099%
Above 4.090099%
Above 4.075099%
Above 4.085099%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
95%
30%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.0650 on Aug 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.0700 on Aug 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.0750 on Aug 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.0800 on Aug 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.0850 on Aug 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.0900 on Aug 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
- ↓ $80+27.4pt100%
- ↓ $85+9.3pt100%
- ↓ $75+27.9pt100%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.5M
- 24h Vol
- $389.6K
KALSHIBrent crude oil price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $86.99+3.0pt99%
- Above $82.99+1.0pt99%
- Above $80.99+1.0pt99%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt34.5%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt26.6%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt12.4%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIGold price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $4555.99+66.0pt99%
- Above $4495.99+33.0pt99%
- Above $3955.9999%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $169.6K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.08099%
- Above 3.80099%
- Above 3.82099%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $280.1K
- 24h Vol
- $102.3K
POLYMARKETWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?
- ↑ $4,600+48.4pt100%
- ↑ $4,500+64.0pt100%
- ↑ $4,400+15.4pt100%
+11 more outcomes
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Gas prices in the US in Aug 2026
- EV commodity prices on Aug 21, 2026
- Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 24, 2026?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Silver price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Copper price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Natural gas price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US gas prices tomorrow?
- Kalshi prices Above 4.1000 at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does US gas prices tomorrow resolve?
- US gas prices tomorrow is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is US gas prices tomorrow settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.0650 on Aug 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.