GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
New York Y wins by more than 2.5 runs 89.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.5K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
82.0% / 97.0%
Spread
15.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 9:08 PMJul 30, 26, 5:40 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
New York Y wins by more than 2.5 runs90%
Compare venues· New York Y wins by more than 2.5 runs
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall67% match · auto | Medium | 92% | — | $647.3K | $465.2K | 28 minutes ago | Open → |
| GeminiThis page | Low | 90% | — | $3.5K | $0 | 28 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
New York Y vs Chicago WS: Spread
48.0 pts2d
+48.0pt92%
90%
75%
+6 more outcomes
74 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$651K
24h Vol$647.3K
KALSHIRules
What will the run difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of New York Yankees in the entire Pro Baseball game between New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET is above 2.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.
- The Underlying is the score differential (New York Yankees's score minus Chicago White Sox's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.7k67.0%KALSHINew York Y wins by over 4.5 runs — No25m ago
KALSHINew York Y wins by over 4.5 runs — No25m ago$5.7k65.0%KALSHINew York Y wins by over 5.5 runs — No45m ago
KALSHINew York Y wins by over 5.5 runs — No45m ago$1.4k56.0%KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — No3h ago
KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — No3h ago$1.2k45.0%KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes3h ago
KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes3h ago$7.0k45.0%KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes3h ago
KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes3h ago$2.0k45.0%KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes3h ago
KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes3h ago$1.2k45.0%KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes3h ago
KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes3h ago$1.7k45.0%KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes3h ago
KALSHINew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes3h agoVolume trend
$3.5kJul 292d of dataJul 30
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What will the run difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of New York Yankees in the entire Pro Baseball game between New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET is above 2.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.
- The Underlying is the score differential (New York Yankees's score minus Chicago White Sox's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.