Will Opus 5 Slay Spires better than Sol?

SolanaOne-OffAI6d

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 56.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jul 29, 26, 4:09 PMAug 5, 26, 4:06 PM

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes56%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

There will be a stream for Opus 5 Jul 30 at 3pm eastern from Epoch, similar to previous ones for Sol, as per Epoch AI (@EpochAIResearch) on X at https://t.co/kusf1SFlAA

Resolves YES if, as per my judgment, once the experiments are both done, I believe Opus 5 has outperformed Sol.
Resolves NO if I think Sol outperforms Opus.
Resolves to 50% if I think that it is a true tie / fully ambiguous who is better.
Update 2026-07-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not err on the side of an ambiguous (50%) resolution.
They intend to make a definitive YES or NO judgment even if the outcome is close, rather than resolving to 50%.

Volume trend

$16.2k

Jul 292d of dataJul 30

Related Cryptos

SolanaSOL$74.04+1.01%

Related Markets

What price will Solana hit in July?

$28.6K

↑ 80: 100%

POLYMARKET

SOL price on Jul 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$17.3K

$77 or above: 3%

KALSHI

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

$13.9K

↑ 80: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

$12.6K

Yes: 7%

POLYMARKET

SOL price range on Jul 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$11.9K

$73 to 73.9999: 25%

KALSHI

SOL price on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$6.3K

$70 or above: 89%

KALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$64,173.83+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,917.21+0.53%

XRPXRP$1.08+0.64%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0705+0.07%

BNBBNB$575.55+0.79%

ZcashZEC$468.23+1.72%

Related News

Pump.fun token graduation rate jumps after BOOST changes launch incentivesThe Block

Morgan Stanley Launches Spot Ether, Solana ETPs on NYSE ArcaThe Defiant

SoFi Says SoFiUSD Settlement Now Live on Q2 Earnings CallThe Defiant

Solana’s Perps Battle Is the Trojan Horse for Traditional FinanceBlockchain Reporter

‘The moment to act is now’: Solana Policy Institute urges Senate to move on crypto bill as time dwindlesThe Block

Upbit Lists META2 Token, Bringing Solana’s Futarchy Experiment to South Korean TradersBlockchain Reporter

Rules

There will be a stream for Opus 5 Jul 30 at 3pm eastern from Epoch, similar to previous ones for Sol, as per Epoch AI (@EpochAIResearch) on X at https://t.co/kusf1SFlAA

Resolves YES if, as per my judgment, once the experiments are both done, I believe Opus 5 has outperformed Sol.
Resolves NO if I think Sol outperforms Opus.
Resolves to 50% if I think that it is a true tie / fully ambiguous who is better.
Update 2026-07-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not err on the side of an ambiguous (50%) resolution.
They intend to make a definitive YES or NO judgment even if the outcome is close, rather than resolving to 50%.