FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 88%
No 88%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityTraders
8
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This event predicts whether Bitcoin mining activities will become subject to formal federal regulation in the United States at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, regulation means the enactment of federal laws or binding regulations that directly govern Bitcoin mining operations.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be enacted U.S. legislation or official regulatory rules published by relevant federal agencies.
- If the U.S. federal government enacts laws or binding regulations that explicitly regulate Bitcoin mining during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Non-binding guidance, state-level actions alone, or enforcement without new regulatory authority will not count.