One identity per real-world question — every venue listing it, with match confidence and a public correction history.
Revision 2 · Updated Aug 4, 2026, 2:53 AM UTC · a9f385ab-ec8d-4728-99ce-b5be7744f78d
Polymarket · closed
Kalshi · closed
PredictIt · closed
Manifold Markets · closed
Manifold Markets · closed
Manifold Markets · closed
Every membership and orientation change, appended and never rewritten.