Warnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 18.08.2026, 17:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Alaska 0%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Methodik
Retail prediction exchange
Fragetyp
-
24h-Volumen
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the 2026 Senate election, among those listed in this market, that is won by the smallest percentage margin of the popular vote between the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Should a state reallocate votes under a ranked-choice voting system, this market shall be resolved according to the popular vote count of the last reported round.
- Should any election go to a second round, this market shall be resolved according to the results from that second round.
All listed contracts refer to regularly scheduled general election races.
The margin of victory shall be calculated by using the difference between the percentage of votes for the first place winner and the percentage of votes for the second place winner. - Percentages of the popular vote shall be determined by dividing the number of votes won by each candidate over the total of votes for all ballot-listed candidates and write-ins officially reported.
- In a ranked-choice election, only votes that are active in the last round reported shall be considered.
Should the most specific data available indicate a tie between two or more contests, this market will resolve in favor of the first alphabetical state among those so tied.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
CoinRithm-Referenz Texas 17% · 2 Plattformen · 2 Pkt.-Band
Offene Märkte
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-7.0pt65.7%
- Ralph Norman+5.0pt25.9%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 947.909,4 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.3%
- Jon Ossoff16.4%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.4%
+44 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 160,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 591 Mio. €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 20,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 500.443,6 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- Trump out as President by August 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which 2026 Senate race will be the closest??
- PredictIt bewertet Alaska mit 0% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wie wird Which 2026 Senate race will be the closest? abgerechnet?
- PredictIt rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the 2026 Senate election, among those listed in this market, that is won by the smallest percentage margin of the popular vote between the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Wo wird Which 2026 Senate race will be the closest? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket, Kalshi gelistet.