KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore Nov 4, 2026 36%-2.0ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3488,9 €
Liquidität
67.077,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
5. März 26, 15:001. Sept. 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Sep 1, 202612%
Volumentrend
$4.0k2. Juli27T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
611.776,5 €James Fishback: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
459.410,9 €JD Vance: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
358.141,6 €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ohio Governor winner?
347.658,8 €Vivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
241.664,2 €At least 1%: 95%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
209.364,1 €Gadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.