Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ohio 12%Führend unter 15 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1962,3 €
Liquidität
103.148,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
10.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
24. Sept. 25, 14:003. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Ohio12%
CoinRithm-ReferenzTexas14%· 2 Plattformen· ±3 Pkt.
New MexicoAlaskaGeorgia
POLYMARKET
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Closest Senate Race?
23.0%3Mon
+13.5%30%
+8.5%26%
+2.9%24%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen6545,5 €
24h-Volumen4828,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.
- If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2.2k2. Juli7T Daten8. Juli
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If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.
- If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used.