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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

0.1% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyUS Politics18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 3%
Marktqualitat

40 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

11.451,9 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

2.0% / 3.5%

Spread

75.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-1.3%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

17. Dez. 25, 21:1230. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes3%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
  • A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Makro-Sensible Assets

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
  • A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.