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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Trade Policy
  3. 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

0.8% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyPolitikUS PoliticsChina18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 1%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

891,5 €

Liquidität

16.251 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

1.2% / 1.6%

Spread

33.3%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-0.3%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten

24. Jan. 26, 17:3830. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes1%

Regeln

On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through.

Polymarket
  • (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 100% tariff rate or higher on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify.
  • For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,960.93+2.50%EthereumETH$1,661.06+1.77%SolanaSOL$65.40+1.70%

Verwandte Märkte

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Ja: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

0 €
Ja: 34%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

0 €
Ja: 0%KalshiKALSHI
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

247 €
Ja: 75%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

0,3 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 81%KalshiKALSHI
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,7 €
Ja: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through.

Polymarket
  • (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 100% tariff rate or higher on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify.
  • For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.