PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 89%+0.0%
Marktqualitat
91 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
682,7 €
Liquidität
29.597,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
87.9% / 89.1%
Spread
1.4%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+4.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
29. Mai 26, 13:1431. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes89%
Volumentrend
$7773. Juli24T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
108,3 €Ja: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
0 €Ja: 19%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
0 €December 31,: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
0 €Ja: 79%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
27,9 €Ja: 63%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
0,9 €10% or above: 79%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
- The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
- Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.