PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 89%+0.9pt
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
83,7 €
Liquidität
42.472,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
89.2% / 89.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-1.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
29. Mai 26, 13:14 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
KalshiWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWill Congress pass a resolution rejecting the U.S.–Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. publish the text of its Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsUS x China Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketUS and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
- The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
- Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 113.567,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9370,7 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6086,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4317,4 €
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1139,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1139,4 €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US x China tariff agreement by December 31??
- Polymarket bewertet Yes mit 89% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird US x China tariff agreement by December 31? entschieden?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US x China tariff agreement by December 31? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Wo wird US x China tariff agreement by December 31? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Limitless gelistet.