PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No
Entschieden: 01.08.2026, 06:38
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
No
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
—
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.08.2026, 06:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%+0.0pt
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
134,2 €
Liquidität
9027,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 0.1%
7d-Änderung
-2.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 31 Tagen
Veraltet26. Juni 26, 21:1231. Juli 26, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
- The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
- Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
