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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Trade Policy
  3. US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

0.5% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyChina18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 5%
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

477,7 €

Liquidität

15.092,9 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

4.0% / 6.0%

Spread

50.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-4.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

26. Mai 26, 23:0530. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes5%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
  • The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
  • Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%

Verwandte Märkte

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Ja: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

247 €
Ja: 75%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

1,3 €
Below 10%: 18%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

0,1 €
Below 10%: 19%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

0 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 80%KalshiKALSHI
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Ja: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
  • The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
  • Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.