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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

1.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikMiddle EastEurope18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 6%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

145,7 €

Liquidität

3745,1 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

2.6% / 9.8%

Spread

276.9%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+3.6%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

18. Nov. 25, 16:4830. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes6%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
  • Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
  • Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.