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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

One-OffPolitikGeopolitikEurope3J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Italy
Italy 5%
Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

79,3 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

2.5% / 4.5%

Spread

80.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten

18. Feb. 25, 15:001. Jan. 30, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Italy5%

Regeln

If Italy votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Germany votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If France votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Spain votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Poland votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Hungary votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

0 €
Ja: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?

86,6 €
Ja: 13.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
EU has a new member before 2030?

EU has a new member before 2030?

0 €
Ja: 74%KalshiKALSHI
Metaculus

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0 €
Ja: 4%MetaculusMETACULUS
Manifold Markets

No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026

1737,9 €
Ja: 93.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

0 €
Ja: 4%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,804.74+2.15%EthereumETH$1,655.68+1.43%SolanaSOL$65.13+1.36%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.35%XRPXRP$1.12+0.29%BNBBNB$595.92+1.65%

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Regeln

If Italy votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Germany votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If France votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Spain votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Poland votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Hungary votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.