PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 85%+3.0pt
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
408,2 €
Liquidität
16.112,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
59.0% / 61.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
8. Sept. 26, 02:40 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Mykolaivka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Dobropillia by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
KalshiWho will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Preobrazhenka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.574595° N, 35.812497° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Offene Märkte
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.4pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 335.078,3 €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.7pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.2pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202714%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-5.5pt75%
- Yes+5.5pt25%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 345.459,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.315,1 €
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change+1.5pt69.3%
- Decrease27.7%
- Increase-0.1pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 516.675,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 43.007,5 €
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
- Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 85% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? entschieden?
- Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Preobrazhenka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.574595° N, 35.812497° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).