PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 90%+0.5pt
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
7567,8 €
Liquidität
76.057,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
79.0% / 81.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadComments
0
7d-Änderung
+38.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
6. Aug. 26, 0:091. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Mykolaivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.854785° N, 37.770676° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.