PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 35%-1.5%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
11.689,1 €
Liquidität
12.996,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.2% / 4.9%
Spread
53.1%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
6. Feb. 26, 0:2531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December 3135%
Verwandte Märkte
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
27.011,5 €December 31: 47%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
4279,7 €December 31: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?
1909,8 €September 30: 67%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ukraine vs Denmark
37.521,7 €Denmark: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will there be a dark horse run in the 2026 Fifa World Cup?
2719,3 €Yes, and they will reach quarter-finals: 85%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
1978,2 €Ja: 9.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Kyiv leadership buzz lifts Polymarket odds of Putin exit by end-2026 to 11.5%Blockchain.News
Russia steps up strikes as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2026 odds to 11.5%Blockchain.News
Zelenskyy touts repeat Ufa strike as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40.55%Blockchain.News
Ukraine reports Crimea strikes as Polymarket puts 2026 recapture odds at 13.5%Blockchain.News
UN report on POW abuses lifts Polymarket Crimea recapture odds to 14%Blockchain.News
Dnipro strike hits Ukraine as Polymarket raises Crimea recapture odds to 13.5%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Drobysheve, Donetsk Oblast, (49°02'31.4"N 37°43'54.7"E) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Drobysheve will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.