PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 9%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
25.579,6 €
Liquidität
1459 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadComments
1
7d-Änderung
-3.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
6. Feb. 26, 0:251. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Drobysheve, Donetsk Oblast, (49°02'31.4"N 37°43'54.7"E) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Drobysheve will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.