PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 30 9%-1.5ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
59,8 €
Liquidität
1820,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
3
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
13. Apr. 26, 22:49 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.612850° N, 36.062680° E in Huliaipilske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet September 30 mit 9% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by which date? entschieden?
- Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by which date? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.612850° N, 36.062680° E in Huliaipilske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.