Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
0.1 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikUS Politics1Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 99%-0.1pt
Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
165,5 €
Liquidität
7344 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.5% / 1.8%
Spread
1.3 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
13. Jan. 26, 23:17 UTC4. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill democrats win the senate and lose the house?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
KalshiWill Democrats regain a House majority between elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats.
- Ties do not qualify as a majority.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.