Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
0.5 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikUS Politics3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 94.1%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4,4 €
Liquidität
505,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-4.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
13. Jan. 26, 23:173. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes6%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt65% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 94% | +88pt | 4,4 € | 17.056,2 € | vor 10 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| PolymarketDiese Seite | Niedrig | 95% | +89pt | 4,4 € | 505,8 € | vor 10 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
4.7 pts5Mon
94%
-4.7pt6%
62 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen34.157 €
24h-Volumen4,4 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S.
- House at that time, excluding vacant seats.
- Ties do not qualify as a majority.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$58. Juli17T Daten28. Juli
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S.
- House at that time, excluding vacant seats.
- Ties do not qualify as a majority.