Haben die Republikaner nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026 eine Mehrheit im Repräsentantenhaus?
One-OffPolitikUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 20268TManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94%
Prognostiker
724
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 56 Minuten
Verzogert8. Juni 25, 18:16 UTC4. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
KalshiWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
PolymarketWhen will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
KalshiWill the Democrats win the Senate and Republicans win the House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExWill Democrats regain a House majority between elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats win the Senate, Republicans win the House, and Democrats win the Presidency in the 2028 election?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, following the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections, the Republican Party holds at least 218 seats, thereby securing a majority in the House.
- Conversely, it will resolve to "No" if the Republicans hold fewer than 218 seats.
- The official election results, as reported by the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives, will serve as the primary source for resolution.
- (ballotpedia.org)
- The 2026 midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026, will determine the composition of the 120th United States Congress.