KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1 97%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Before Jan 1 97%Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1269,6 €
Open Interest
19.396,5 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 1Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 34 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 14:00 UTC4. Nov. 26, 04:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?
KalshiWhen will the AP call control of the US House after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsRepublicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
KalshiWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
PolymarketWill Democrats regain a House majority between elections?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or equivalent clear language indicating the outlet has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the outlet's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is their primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the outlet's platform, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes based on the initial call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify as definitive calls.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 14
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 11
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 6
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 4AM Nov 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 4AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 1AM Nov 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 1AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 11PM Nov 3
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.