KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Nov 4 40%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
62,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 14:00 UTC4. Nov. 26, 04:00 UTC
Trends
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Regeln
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or equivalent clear language indicating the outlet has determined the winner.
- The call must appear on one of the outlet's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is their primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the outlet's platform, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication.
- If the call is later retracted, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes based on the initial call time.
- Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify as definitive calls.
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Nov 4 mit 40% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? entschieden?
- When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? soll am 4. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.