PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 18:30 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
27.133,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.8% / 6.1%
Spread
1.3 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
6
7d-Änderung
+1.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet23. Jan. 26, 22:301. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of at least two NATO member states between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force, such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between the military forces of at least two NATO member states.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: For the purposes of this market, coast guard services or equivalent forces will be considered part of a country’s military only if they are officially designated as military forces under that country’s law or command structure; purely civilian or law-enforcement maritime agencies will not be considered military forces.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? entschieden?
- Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of at least two NATO member states between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.