Will NATO countries clash with each other by which date?
3.0 Pkt. (24h)US-PolitikOne-OffGeopolitikEuropa1J
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Referenzwert
2027 13%
2027 13%Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
461,4 €
Liquidität
23.959,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätOpen Interest
5526 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
2027Spread
—
Kommentare
8
7d-Änderung
-0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
23. Jan. 26, 22:30 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will penalties for NATO countries not meeting the 2% of GDP spending target be put in place before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
PolymarketNext High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of at least two NATO member states between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force, such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between the military forces of at least two NATO member states.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: For the purposes of this market, coast guard services or equivalent forces will be considered part of a country’s military only if they are officially designated as military forces under that country’s law or command structure; purely civilian or law-enforcement maritime agencies will not be considered military forces.
