PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertVom Anbieter Markt für Markt abgerechnet
Entschieden: 28.10.2026, 22:07
Dieses Ereignis hat keinen einzelnen Gewinner. Der Anbieter hat jeden Markt einzeln abgerechnet; jeder Markt zeigt sein eigenes Ergebnis.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 28.10.2026, 21:15 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Benjamin Netanyahu0%
Elon Musk0%
Emmanuel Macron0%
Hillary Clinton5%
Abdul El-SayedGewonnen
Barack ObamaGewonnen
J.B. PritzkerGewonnen
James TalaricoGewonnen
Jerome PowellGewonnen
Joe BidenGewonnen
Jon OssoffGewonnen
Kaitlan CollinsGewonnen
Mark CarneyGewonnen
Nicolás MaduroGewonnen
Tucker CarlsonGewonnen
Hillary ClintonVerloren
Adam SchiffVerloren
Alex JonesVerloren
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezVerloren
Andy BurnhamVerloren
Benjamin NetanyahuVerloren
Candace OwensVerloren
Elizabeth WarrenVerloren
Elon MuskVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiTrump publicly insults Warsh by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsTrump Publicly comes Out As LGBTQ by The end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump ever publicly endorse another presidential candidate?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe.
- Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available.
- Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported.
- Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.