PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
J.D. Vance 90%Führend unter 71 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
310,3 €
Liquidität
320.277,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
11.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+23.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
4. Aug. 26, 21:43 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
KalshiWho will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
KalshiWill FNS Announce a 2028 Presidential Run by the End of the Year?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
- A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous.
- Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.