KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 22:51 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jul 1, 2027 20%
Before Jul 1, 2027 20%Marktqualitat
29 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
763,4 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 55 Minuten
Verzogert8. Mai 26, 22:15 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jul 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ron DeSantis complete his term as governor of Florida?
Manifold MarketsWho will announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWill FNS Announce a 2028 Presidential Run by the End of the Year?
PolymarketWill Ro Khanna announce a presidential run before 2027
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Ron DeSantis has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoBloomberg NewsNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Ron DeSantis has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Ron DeSantis has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.