PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Gavin Newsom 13%Führend unter 71 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1272,7 €
Liquidität
657.351,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
21
7d-Änderung
-6.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
19. Nov. 25, 23:53 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run in 2026?
KalshiWho will announce Presidential run before 2028?
PolymarketWho will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
KalshiWho will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.