Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%+0.5pt
Marktqualitat
38 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
478,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.0% / 9.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
KalshiWho will announce Presidential run before 2028?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run in 2026?
KalshiWho will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
KalshiRegeln
Will FNS announce a 2028 presidential run by the end of the year?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if FNS publicly announces that he is running for President of the United States in the 2028 election on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Announcing a 2028 presidential run" refers to FNS making a public declaration of his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election, whether through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission as a presidential candidate, or an unambiguous public statement declaring his intent to run in 2028.
- Jokes, satire, hypothetical statements, or ambiguous remarks that do not constitute a genuine declaration of candidacy will not count.
- The primary resolution source will be FNS's official public statements and any Federal Election Commission filings, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.