Warnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 19:57 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
October 31 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
October 31 2%
October 31 2%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
9214,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
994,2 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
October 31Spread
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Kommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
7. Juli 26, 23:26 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
July 31Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · October 31
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Marine Le Pen wins the French election in 2027?
Manifold MarketsKenyan National Assembly winner?
KalshiGangneung National Assembly by-election winner?
KalshiWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsMarine Le Pen Will be the next president of France.
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen’s departure as Member of the National Assembly of France from the 11th constituency of Pas-de-Calais is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The departure will be considered to be announced when Marine Le Pen, the National Assembly of France, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Le Pen has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Member of the National Assembly of France from the 11th constituency of Pas-de-Calais.
- Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position.
- Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).