Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan?
Geopolitik
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No
Entschieden: 11.03.2024, 00:01
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%
Marktqualitat
15 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 122 Tagen
Veraltet20. Feb. 24, 20:0210. März 24, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regeln
On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah."
- This market will resolve to "Yes” Israel and Hamas agree to a hostage deal by 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), March 10, 2024.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that an announcement by the resolution date of an agreed hostage deal between Israel and Hamas will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when and if the hostage deal actually takes place.
- Note that any hostage deal agreement will suffice, regardless of the number of hostages agreed to be released.
- The primary resolution source will be formal acknowledgments from Hamas and Israel.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.2pt78%
- October 31+18.5pt65%
- September 30+13.0pt42%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.8pt100%
- August 31+4.0pt96%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-6.0pt60.4%
- Yes+6.0pt39.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 285.540,4 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 51,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 230.614,2 €
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+0.5pt68%
- December+2.0pt53%
- September 30,+3.5pt25%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)-0.2pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 100% (Stand: 25. April 2026).
- Wann wird Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? entschieden?
- Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? soll am 10. März 2024 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah."