Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
Geopolitik
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes
Entschieden: 26.11.2023, 07:35
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 100%
Marktqualitat
15 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 122 Tagen
Veraltet27. Okt. 23, 16:5530. Nov. 23, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas by Nov 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.
- The resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.
- An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties.
- Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- The ceasefire must last 48h and to have begun before the resolution date (if the ceasefire begins on Nov 29, for example, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 48h).