Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Gabriel Attal 100%+8.5ptFührend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
56.915,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
63.0% / 89.0%
Spread
26.0 pt
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 29 Minuten
22. Apr. 26, 22:2523. Apr. 27, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Éric Zemmour76%
Volumentrend
$252. Juli26T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
130.616,8 €United Russia (ER): 57%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
101.983,2 €Marine Le Pen: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election Winner
33.049,4 €Nigel Farage: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
894 €Ja: 7.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
524,4 €Yes, full recount: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Greater Manchester Mayoral By-Election - Winner
516,8 €Green: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
- Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.