Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Éric Zemmour 100%+14.4ptFührend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6490,8 €
Liquidität
100.767,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
22
7d-Änderung
+22.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
22. Apr. 26, 22:25 UTC23. Apr. 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
KalshiWho will win the 2027 french presidential election
Manifold MarketsWill Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
- Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.