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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

8.1% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahl10Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Gabriel Attal
Gabriel Attal 100%+8.5%
Führend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

1569,1 €

Liquidität

16.084,7 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

2.4% / 7.1%

Spread

195.8%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-2.6%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

22. Apr. 26, 22:3223. Apr. 27, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Jean-Luc Mélenchon99%

Regeln

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
  • Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Regeln

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
  • Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.