EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
23.5 Pkt. (24h)Russia / UkraineOne-OffEurope3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 77%+23.5pt
Marktqualitat
50 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1085,1 €
Liquidität
7564,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
17.0% / 29.0%
Spread
12.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
19. Sept. 26, 01:13 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Russian ambassador is expelled from any European Union member state by the government of that state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by an EU member state requiring the Russian Ambassador to leave that state, including a declaration of persona non grata.
- Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to the relevant state will not alone suffice.
- An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the expelling country and Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 77% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? entschieden?
- EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Russian ambassador is expelled from any European Union member state by the government of that state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.