PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
0.2% 67.7%+3.0ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
376,7 €
Liquidität
6745,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadComments
0
7d-Änderung
+1.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
31. Juli 26, 23:4426. Aug. 26, 13:30
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-3.0pt67.3%
- 25 bps increase+3.5pt31.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.2pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 39,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+7.0pt56%
- No-7.0pt44%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 146.838,1 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+4.5pt33%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause-6.5pt64.7%
- Pause–Pause–Cut1%
- Other+7.5pt34.3%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 106.740,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8606,2 €
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 47.221,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- CPI in August
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- US electricity price in August
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Core PCE MoM - July 2026?
- Polymarket bewertet 0.2% mit 68% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Core PCE MoM - July 2026 entschieden?
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026 soll am 26. August 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Core PCE MoM - July 2026 abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.